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Infrared Satellite: Goni
Typhoon Goni was pounding Japan’s southern Ryukyu Islands as of Sunday evening Japanese time (Sunday morning U.S. time). Wind have gusted up to 97 mph at the airport on Ishigakijima Island as of this writing. This island was hit hard with strong winds from Typhoon Soudelor earlier this month
Prior to impacting southern Japan, Goni brought deadly impacts to the northern Philippines as it moved very slowly just north of Luzon Island. This resulted in a prolonged period of heavy rain and strong winds.
According to the U.S. military’s Joint Typhoon Warning Center, Typhoon Goni was located about 320 miles southwest of Kadena Air Base, Japan, and had maximum estimated sustained winds of 105 mph as of Sunday morning, U.S. time. That makes it the equivalent of a Category 2 hurricane on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. While some modest strengthening is forecast over the next 12 to 36 hours, a weakening trend is likely early in the week as it tracks toward southwest Japan and South Korea.
Forecast Path: Goni – The latest storm statistics and forecast path from the U.S. military’s Joint Typhoon Warning Center
Goni Forecast: Japan Impacts Continue
After stalling for a time, steered by high pressure aloft to the southeast, Goni is now moving north-northeast. This is taking Goni through Japan’s southern Ryukyu Islands.
Goni’s path will take it through the populated islands of Ishigakijima and Miyakojima through Monday morning.
The center of Goni could also pass near the main island of Okinawa, including Kadena Air Base, with a closest approach of the center sometime early Monday, local time.
Kadena Air Base elevated their tropical cyclone condition of readiness to TCCOR 2, meaning destructive winds are possible within 24 hours.
In response to a southward dip in the jet stream arriving over eastern China, it’s possible Goni may regain a little strength temporarily through early Monday, as upper-level winds may provide a boost to upward motion and thunderstorms within Goni’s circulation.
Goni is then expected to accelerate and track toward the southwest Japan — Kyushu, western Honshu, Shikoku — or perhaps eastern South Korea Tuesday, perhaps as a low-end typhoon or tropical storm.
Heading into the Sea of Japan, Goni should then make a final landfall as a tropical storm, depression, or remnant low somewhere near the Russia/northeast China/northeast North Korea triple point by mid-week.
Typhoon Goni Wind Probabilities
In the shaded areas, there is at least a 50 percent chance of sustained winds of 39, 58, or 74 miles per hour over the next five days
Courtesy of weather.com
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