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Newly-formed Typhoon Nuri off the Philippines in the west Pacific has briefly delayed the building buzz downstream to the west in the Bay of Bengal.
Nuri is predicted to become an extremely dangerous category-5 typhoon with peak winds speeding to 250 km/hr and gusting to 305 km/hr over next five days.
DANGEROUS TYPHOON
Category-5 represents class-topping strength and intensity on the Saffir-Simpson scale. Fortunately, it is seen raging mostly out in the vast Pacific waters only.
It is projected to track a north-northeast track away from the Philippines but is shown sparing Japan from a direct hit and fading out over the waters by Thursday.
Since this activity takes place upstream in the flow of northeasterly monsoon winds, Nuri will scuttle the best plans that downstream Bay may have been laying out.
DAMPENER FOR BAY
Earlier, India Met Department had expected that a low-pressure area would develop over southwest Bay by this morning.
The sheer strength and intensity which typhoon Nuri is rustling up by feeding on the flows is now putting a dampener on the Bay ‘low’ and its further progression.
It is now expected that the Bay will hum into activity after typhoon Nuri fades out over the expansive watery terrain of the Pacific.
Nuri would have forced a change in the location of the ‘low’ in the Bay, now expected to be much farther from the Tamil Nadu coast than earlier thought.
LIKELY CYCLONE
Models are now veering down to the coordinates close to the Sumatra Island and to the south-southwest of the Andaman Sea for the anticipated ‘low.’
This will grow gradually into a cyclone that is forecast to hit the east coast of India over Tamil Nadu and adjoining coasts by the weekend.
The suggested places of landfall vary from model to model now range from north Tamil Nadu, Andhra Pradesh or, as an odd forecaster suggests, Odisha coasts.
The wide spread in the location specifics has been caused by the change in the location of origin of the ‘low’ forced by would-be super typhoon Nuri.
A few models suggest that a break-away circulation from the building cyclone would wriggle its way towards the Myanmar coast.
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