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Cyclone Arnab has strengthened into a Severe Cyclonic Storm over the Bay of Bengal, prompting the India Meteorological Department (IMD) to issue a red-level warning for parts of eastern India. Forecasts indicate the system is likely to intensify further into a Very Severe Cyclonic Storm before making landfall along the Andhra Pradesh and Yanam coastline on 28th October 2026.
The storm has become one of the most closely monitored weather systems of the year due to its potential for damaging winds, dangerous storm surge, widespread flooding rainfall, and significant disruption to transport and infrastructure. Authorities across Andhra Pradesh, Odisha, and neighbouring states have already activated emergency response plans as the cyclone continues moving west-northwestward across the Bay of Bengal.
Latest monitoring indicates that Cyclone Arnab remains over the west-central Bay of Bengal and continues to organise its structure. Satellite imagery released by meteorological agencies shows tightly wound rainbands wrapping around a strengthening circulation centre. Forecast models suggest further strengthening is likely while the storm remains over warm ocean waters.
Weather analysts are closely watching the cyclone’s track as it approaches the Andhra Pradesh coastline. Current forecasts place the most likely landfall zone between Bapatla and Visakhapatnam, near Yanam.
According to the latest official forecasts, Cyclone Arnab is expected to cross the Andhra Pradesh and Yanam coasts during the forenoon of 28th October 2026. Maximum sustained winds at landfall are forecast to reach 115 to 125 km/h, with gusts potentially reaching 140 km/h.
These wind speeds are capable of:
The combination of high winds and heavy rainfall may significantly increase impacts in low-lying coastal areas.
While coastal regions face the greatest wind threat, heavy rainfall from Cyclone Arnab is expected to spread far inland after landfall. Meteorological forecasts indicate extremely heavy rainfall may affect parts of:
Several areas could experience flash flooding, river flooding, landslides, and transport disruption if intense rain bands persist over the same regions.
Authorities have mobilised extensive emergency resources ahead of the cyclone’s arrival. National Disaster Response Force (NDRF) and State Disaster Response Force (SDRF) teams have been deployed across vulnerable districts, while thousands of fishing vessels have returned to port. Evacuation plans are also being implemented in coastal communities most at risk from storm surge and flooding.
Reports indicate that hundreds of thousands of residents have been identified as vulnerable in coastal and low-lying districts, highlighting the scale of the preparations currently underway.
Cyclone Arnab is notable not only because of its projected strength but also because of the broad geographical area expected to experience impacts. Even regions well inland from the coast may face days of heavy rain, strong winds, and localised flooding as the system moves northward after landfall.
The cyclone’s name, Arnab, was contributed by Bangladesh and means“ocean” or “sea” in Bengali.
Cyclone Arnab continues to intensify over the Bay of Bengal and remains on track to become a very severe cyclonic storm before landfall. Residents across Andhra Pradesh, Odisha, and neighbouring states should closely follow official forecasts and heed evacuation orders where issued. With destructive winds, torrential rainfall, and coastal flooding all possible, the next 48 hours will be critical for millions of people across eastern India.
As always, Earth Extremities will continue monitoring Cyclone Arnab and provide updates as new information becomes available.
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